Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005776 0.006109 0.006455 0.006841 0.007262 0.007707 0.008213
2026-01-18 0.005204 0.005687 0.006212 0.006828 0.007537 0.008330 0.009293
2026-01-25 0.004816 0.005376 0.006004 0.006766 0.007676 0.008737 0.010085
2026-02-01 0.004637 0.005269 0.005997 0.006907 0.008030 0.009388 0.011187
2026-02-08 0.004407 0.005078 0.005866 0.006877 0.008157 0.009753 0.011945
2026-02-15 0.004225 0.004928 0.005770 0.006871 0.008301 0.010135 0.012739
2026-02-22 0.004023 0.004740 0.005611 0.006771 0.008307 0.010328 0.013282
2026-03-01 0.003849 0.004575 0.005471 0.006681 0.008316 0.010514 0.013819
2026-03-08 0.003729 0.004472 0.005400 0.006675 0.008431 0.010846 0.014584
2026-03-15 0.003535 0.004265 0.005186 0.006466 0.008251 0.010748 0.014694
2026-03-22 0.003451 0.004196 0.005148 0.006489 0.008394 0.011116 0.015540
2026-03-29 0.003394 0.004160 0.005150 0.006565 0.008613 0.011605 0.016617
2026-04-05 0.003291 0.004060 0.005064 0.006515 0.008648 0.011824 0.017281
2026-04-12 0.003208 0.003984 0.005006 0.006503 0.008737 0.012130 0.018119
2026-04-19 0.003115 0.003890 0.004920 0.006445 0.008752 0.012319 0.018767
2026-04-26 0.003093 0.003891 0.004964 0.006576 0.009061 0.012996 0.020353
2026-05-03 0.003019 0.003818 0.004903 0.006548 0.009118 0.013263 0.021211
2026-05-10 0.002957 0.003760 0.004858 0.006543 0.009211 0.013592 0.022218
2026-05-17 0.002871 0.003665 0.004759 0.006449 0.009155 0.013661 0.022719
2026-05-24 0.002793 0.003579 0.004668 0.006365 0.009110 0.013746 0.023256
2026-05-31 0.002741 0.003530 0.004630 0.006360 0.009193 0.014061 0.024305
2026-06-07 0.002637 0.003402 0.004473 0.006164 0.008950 0.013770 0.024031
2026-06-14 0.002600 0.003369 0.004455 0.006186 0.009073 0.014158 0.025278